Reese Brantmeier vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

UMPIRY

W50 Quebec CitySemi-finalHardSat 17 Oct · 12:00

Reese BrantmeierUSA23%

VSClear favourite · Rinaldo Persson K.

Kajsa Rinaldo Persson(4)WTA #247 · SWE77%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Rinaldo Persson K.

23%77%

Clear edge for Rinaldo Persson K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Brantmeier R.5.3/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Rinaldo Persson K.4.1/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form7 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Brantmeier R.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 546

Hard ELO1 529

Last 108–2

Age22

ELO1 677

Hard ELO1 581

Last 106–4

Age28

Reese Brantmeier faces Kajsa Rinaldo Persson in the W50 Quebec City semi-final on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Reese Brantmeier dropped just 4 games past Thara Gowda.
Surface form: Reese Brantmeier 7 of 9, Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 6 of 9 on hard recently — Reese Brantmeier the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Brantmeier R.Rinaldo Persson K.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–26–4

Season win rate69% (11–5)56% (25–20)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15461677

Hard-court ELO15291581

Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 42 matches

1st-serve points won68%58%

Return points won46%47%

Aces / match4.00.6

ClutchLast 16 vs 42 matches

Break points saved49%53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast3°C · Mainly clear

Wind19 km/h

Humidity48%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Reese Brantmeier vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson — W50 Quebec City Semi-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/brantmeier-vs-persson-w50-quebec-city-sf?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).