Nikita Bilozertsev vs L. Talan Lopatic | M15 Heraklion Quarter-final

UMPIRY

M15 HeraklionQuarter-finalHardSat 17 Oct · 12:00

Nikita BilozertsevATP #860 · UZB57%

VSToss-up

L. Talan LopaticSLO43%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Bilozertsev N.5.9/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Talan Lopatic L.6.0/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 559

Hard ELO1 524

Last 106–4

Age17

ELO1 534

Hard ELO1 511

Last 105–5

Age18

Nikita Bilozertsev faces L. Talan Lopatic in the M15 Heraklion quarter-final on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Nikita Bilozertsev advanced when Matyas Fuele retired.
Last match: L. Talan Lopatic dropped just 4 games past Marcus Walters.
Surface form: Both 3 of 4 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bilozertsev N.Talan Lopatic L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–45–5

Season win rate67% (8–4)62% (13–8)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15591534

Hard-court ELO15241511

Serve vs returnLast 12 vs 11 matches

1st-serve points won67%63%

Return points won48%44%

Aces / match2.71.2

ClutchLast 12 vs 11 matches

Break points saved60%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast25°C · Partly cloudy

Wind21 km/h

Humidity57%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nikita Bilozertsev vs L. Talan Lopatic — M15 Heraklion Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-17/bilozertsev-vs-lopatic-m15-heraklion-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 17 October 2026).