Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva | Mallorca Quarter-final

UMPIRY

MallorcaQuarter-finalGrassFri 16 Oct · ~13:00Centre Court · After 1 match

Francesca CurmiWTA #233 · MLT52%

VSToss-up

Elizara Yaneva(7)WTA #146 · BUL48%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

52%48%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Curmi F.6.2/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Yaneva E.6.5/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+15 Grass Elo edgeSupports Curmi F.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1580Supports Curmi F.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Yaneva E.

Recent run2-match win streakBoth players

Head-to-headFirst meeting on grassBoth players

ELO1 700

Grass ELO1 508

Last 106–4

Age24

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $131K2026 $38K

ELO1 698

Grass ELO1 521

Last 108–2

Age19

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $182K2026 $156K

Francesca Curmi faces Elizara Yaneva in the Mallorca quarter-final on grass. Elizara Yaneva holds the paper edge — ranked #146, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Last match: Francesca Curmi dropped the opening set before beating Marina Bassols Ribera 3–6 6–3 6–3.
Last match: Elizara Yaneva dropped just 4 games past Carole Monnet.
Fatigue load: Both played two three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Curmi F. and Yaneva E. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Curmi F. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Yaneva E. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Curmi F. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Yaneva E. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

0–2Sets0–2

9–13Games5–12

0–1Tiebreaks0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Oktiabreva A.#311L6-7 3-6Oeiras 125 Outdoor 2 · clayL4-6 1-6Oeiras 125 Outdoor 2 · clay

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Yaneva E. leads 1–0

Yaneva E.February 2026W50 PortoHard6-3 6-3

Evidence

Curmi F.Yaneva E.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–48–2

Season win rate64% (32–18)67% (43–21)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17001698

Grass-court ELO15081521

Serve vs returnLast 44 vs 61 matches

1st-serve points won57%62%

Return points won50%48%

Aces / match0.41.4

ClutchLast 44 vs 61 matches

Break points saved56%56%

When it starts

Centre Court · After 1 match · Followed by

1Grabher J. v Geerlings A.Starting at 10:00 AM
2This match: Curmi F. v Yaneva E.This match
3Lazaro Garcia A. v Samson L.Not before 2:30 PM

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Centre Court · ~13:00 local

SurfaceGrass · fast

Forecast24°C · Mainly clear

Wind4 km/h

Humidity59%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Curmi F.Yaneva E.

1Days since last match1

2Matches · 7 days2

55Games · 7 days43

2Matches · 14 days2

55Games · 14 days43

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva — Mallorca Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-16/curmi-vs-yaneva-mallorca-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 16 October 2026).