Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Carlos Maria Zarate

UMPIRY

Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2R16ClayThu 15 Oct · 15:30CANCHA 2 · Next on

Thiago Seyboth Wild(3)ATP #136 · BRA75%

VSClear favourite · Seyboth Wild T.

Carlos Maria ZarateATP #352 · ARG25%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Seyboth Wild T.

75%25%

Clear edge for Seyboth Wild T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Seyboth Wild T.8.0/10

Dominant favourite

Zarate C.3.5/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+329 Clay Elo edgeSupports Seyboth Wild T.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1532Supports Seyboth Wild T.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players

ELO1 799

Clay ELO1 746

Last 109–1

Age26

EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $155K

ELO1 626

Clay ELO1 606

Last 107–3

Age21

EarningsCareer $47K2026 $24K

Thiago Seyboth Wild faces Carlos Maria Zarate in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 round of 16 on clay. Thiago Seyboth Wild holds the paper edge — ranked #136, a roughly 330-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Thiago Seyboth Wild comes in with 4 days of rest and 96 games in 14d, vs Carlos Maria Zarate's 1 and 31.
Surface form: Thiago Seyboth Wild 4 of 5, Carlos Maria Zarate 2 of 5 on clay recently — Thiago Seyboth Wild the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Seyboth Wild T.Zarate C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss9–17–3

Season win rate67% (37–18)64% (30–17)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17991626

Clay-court ELO17461606

Serve vs returnLast 50 vs 39 matches

1st-serve points won73%69%

Return points won40%42%

Aces / match5.72.9

ClutchLast 50 vs 39 matches

Break points saved65%60%

When it starts

CANCHA 2 · Next on · Not before 3:30 PM

1This match: Seyboth Wild T. v Zarate C.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CANCHA 2 · 15:30 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast22°C · Showers

Wind4 km/h

Humidity79%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Seyboth Wild T.Zarate C.

4Days since last match1

3Matches · 7 days1

62Games · 7 days31

5Matches · 14 days1

96Games · 14 days31

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Carlos Maria Zarate — Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/wild-vs-zarate-santa-cruz-de-la-sierra-2-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).