Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Laura Samson — Mallorca Round of 16
Why
Surface+115 Grass Elo edgeSupports Samson L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1690Supports Samson L.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Nguyen Tan L.
Surface switchClay → GrassAgainst the prediction · Nguyen Tan L.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
ELO1 604
Grass ELO1 512
Last 107–3
Age23
EarningsCareer $100K2026 $18K
ELO1 703
Grass ELO1 486
Last 106–4
Age18
EarningsCareer $384K2026 $195K
Lucie Nguyen Tan faces Laura Samson in the Mallorca round of 16 on grass. Laura Samson is the paper favourite — ranked #128, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage — but Lucie Nguyen Tan rides a 3-match win streak.
Key context
- Last match: Lucie Nguyen Tan dropped just 5 games past Eva Bennemann.
- Fatigue load: Lucie Nguyen Tan carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Win streak: Lucie Nguyen Tan arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Nguyen Tan L.Samson L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate60% (29–19)60% (26–17) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16041703 (ahead)
Grass-court ELO1512 (ahead)1486
Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 35 matches
1st-serve points won60%65% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)46%
Aces / match1.22.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 45 vs 35 matches
Break points saved49%54% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Laura Samson — Mallorca Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/samson-vs-tan-mallorca-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).