UMPIRY
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J. Simonsson vs L. Rivera — M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 16

M15 SzabolcsveresmartR16HardThu 15 Oct · 12:00
J. SimonssonSWE31%
VSClear favourite · Rivera L.
L. Rivera(7)NOR69%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Rivera L.
31%69%

Clear edge for Rivera L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Simonsson J.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Rivera L.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 467
Hard ELO1 479
Last 106–4
Age23
ELO1 525
Hard ELO1 506
Last 104–6
Age24

J. Simonsson faces L. Rivera in the M15 Szabolcsveresmart round of 16 on hard. L. Rivera holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

  • Last match: L. Rivera dropped just 5 games past Peter Sallay.
  • Head-to-head: L. Rivera leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at M25 Varnamo 1 2024.
  • Fatigue load: L. Rivera carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Rivera L. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Simonsson J.Rivera L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate64% (7–4) (ahead)45% (9–11)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14671525 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14791506 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 8 vs 14 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)61%
Return points won44% (ahead)43%
Aces / match3.4 (ahead)0.9
ClutchLast 8 vs 14 matches
Break points saved55%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast15°C · Clear
Wind15 km/h
Humidity50%

Cite this

Umpiry, "J. Simonsson vs L. Rivera — M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/rivera-vs-simonsson-m15-szabolcsveresmart-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).