Valeriya Strakhova vs Malaika Rapolu | W100 Edmond Round of 32

UMPIRY

W100 EdmondR32HardThu 15 Oct · 19:48

Valeriya StrakhovaWTA #504 · UKR31%

VSClear favourite · Rapolu M.

Malaika RapoluWTA #298 · USA69%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Rapolu M.

31%69%

Clear edge for Rapolu M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Strakhova V.3.6/10

Heavy underdog

Rapolu M.6.8/10

Slight advantage

Why

Surface+275 Hard Elo edgeSupports Rapolu M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1396Supports Rapolu M.

Recent runLost last 12Informative

CountryWon 57% in USA (107)Supports Rapolu M.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 550

Hard ELO1 493

Last 106–4

Age31

EarningsCareer $453K2026 $41K

ELO1 646

Hard ELO1 619

Last 107–3

Age23

EarningsCareer $61K2026 $20K

Valeriya Strakhova faces Malaika Rapolu in the W100 Edmond round of 32 on hard. Malaika Rapolu holds the paper edge — ranked #298, a roughly 280-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Valeriya Strakhova handed Edda Mamedova a second-set bagel in a 6–3 6–0 win.
Surface form: Valeriya Strakhova 2 of 5, Malaika Rapolu 3 of 5 on hard recently — Malaika Rapolu the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Malaika Rapolu carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Strakhova V.Rapolu M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–47–3

Season win rate49% (19–20)65% (37–20)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15501646

Hard-court ELO14931619

Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 45 matches

1st-serve points won59%64%

Return points won47%50%

Aces / match1.12.1

ClutchLast 38 vs 45 matches

Break points saved53%55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

19:48 local

SurfaceHard · medium-fast

Forecast22°C · Overcast

Wind8 km/h

Humidity91%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Valeriya Strakhova vs Malaika Rapolu — W100 Edmond Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/rapolu-vs-strakhova-w100-edmond-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).