Serena Paris vs A. Tu | W15 Bol Round of 16

UMPIRY

W15 BolR16ClayThu 15 Oct · 13:00

Serena ParisITA59%

VSSlight edge · Paris S.

A. TuUSA41%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Paris S.

59%41%

Paris S. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Paris S.4.6/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Tu A.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 500

Clay ELO1 520

Last 107–3

Age21

ELO1 503

Clay ELO1 505

Last 104–6

Age17

Serena Paris faces A. Tu in the W15 Bol round of 16 on clay. Serena Paris brings the better recent clay form (4 of 5).

Key context

Last match: Serena Paris dropped just 6 games past Sara Mikaca.
Last match: A. Tu dropped just 6 games past Gloria De Santis.
Surface form: Serena Paris 4 of 5, A. Tu 3 of 5 on clay recently — Serena Paris the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Paris S.Tu A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–34–6

Season win rate67% (14–7)50% (1–1)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15001503

Clay-court ELO15201505

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local

SurfaceClay · slow

Forecast23°C · Overcast

Wind12 km/h

Humidity36%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Serena Paris vs A. Tu — W15 Bol Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/paris-vs-tu-w15-bol-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).