UMPIRY
EN

C. Mueller vs Jelle Sels — M15 Offenbach Quarter-final

M15 OffenbachQuarter-finalHardThu 15 Oct · 11:00
C. MuellerATP #751 · GER32%
VSClear favourite · Sels J.
Jelle Sels(5)ATP #579 · NED68%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sels J.
32%68%

Clear edge for Sels J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mueller C.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Sels J.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 553
Hard ELO1 524
Last 106–4
Age26
ELO1 656
Hard ELO1 623
Last 106–4
Age31

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mueller C.Sels J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate50% (9–9) (ahead)46% (16–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15531656 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15241623 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 34 matches
1st-serve points won67% (ahead)66%
Return points won39% (ahead)37%
Aces / match1.83.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 16 vs 34 matches
Break points saved52%56% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Overcast
Wind2 km/h
Humidity81%

Cite this

Umpiry, "C. Mueller vs Jelle Sels — M15 Offenbach Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/mueller-vs-sels-m15-offenbach-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).