UMPIRY
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Dominick Mosejczuk vs Z. Velcz — M25 Austin Round of 16

M25 AustinR16HardThu 15 Oct · 11:30
Dominick MosejczukUSA36%
VSSlight edge · Velcz Z.
Z. VelczHUN64%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Velcz Z.
36%64%

Velcz Z. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mosejczuk D.4.3/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Velcz Z.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 537
Hard ELO1 532
Last 108–2
Age19
ELO1 586
Hard ELO1 556
Last 106–4
Age23

Dominick Mosejczuk faces Z. Velcz in the M25 Austin round of 16 on hard. Dominick Mosejczuk brings the better recent hard form (8 of 10).

Key context

  • Last match: Z. Velcz recovered from a 0–6 opening set to beat Timo Legout.
  • Fatigue load: Z. Velcz carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Dominick Mosejczuk 8 of 10, Z. Velcz 6 of 10 on hard recently — Dominick Mosejczuk the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mosejczuk D.Velcz Z.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate80% (12–3) (ahead)60% (9–6)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15371586 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15321556 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 8 vs 10 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)66%
Return points won45% (ahead)44%
Aces / match5.9 (ahead)3.6
ClutchLast 8 vs 10 matches
Break points saved69% (ahead)56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Mainly clear
Wind17 km/h
Humidity60%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dominick Mosejczuk vs Z. Velcz — M25 Austin Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/mosejczuk-vs-velcz-m25-austin-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).