Julieta Pareja vs Elizabeth Mandlik — W100 Edmond Round of 32
Julieta Pareja faces Elizabeth Mandlik in the W100 Edmond round of 32 on hard. Elizabeth Mandlik is the paper favourite — ranked #225, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage — but Julieta Pareja has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings. Julieta Pareja brings the better recent hard form (6 of 9).
Key context
- Head-to-head: Julieta Pareja leads the head-to-head 2–1, 1–1 on hard. Last met at Bogota 2026.
- Surface form: Julieta Pareja 6 of 9, Elizabeth Mandlik 4 of 9 on hard recently — Julieta Pareja the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Julieta Pareja carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Serve flowPareja J. broken once · Mandlik E. broken once.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Pareja J.3/4Mandlik E.4/5
Set 1
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsPareja J.Mandlik E.Swinging toMandlik E.29
5Last 12 points7
11Last 3 games18
1/6Break points1/3
30 pointsNow
Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- BREAKSet 1 · Game 8Mandlik E. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 3Pareja J. broke serve
Pre-match context
Pareja J. came in with the higher hard rating (1641 vs 1560), the better recent record (7–3 vs 4–6) and the head-to-head lead (2–1).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
76%24%
Umpiry Score
5.8/10/105.3
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
3 meetings · Pareja J. leads 2–121
Clay: Pareja J. leads 1–0 · Hard: level 1–1
- Pareja J.March 2026BogotaClay6-3 6-3
- Mandlik E.October 2025W100 Edmond 1Hard6-3 6-2
- Pareja J.October 2024W75 Rancho Santa Fe 1Hard2-6 6-4 6-1
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Pareja J.Mandlik E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate68% (21–10) (ahead)46% (17–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1705 (ahead)1615
Hard-court ELO1641 (ahead)1560
Serve vs returnLast 21 vs 32 matches
1st-serve points won62%63% (ahead)
Return points won46% (ahead)45%
Aces / match1.01.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 21 vs 32 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)49%
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Julieta Pareja vs Elizabeth Mandlik — W100 Edmond Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/mandlik-vs-pareja-w100-edmond-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).