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Noemi Maines vs Natalija Senic — W35 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16

W35 Santa Margherita di PulaR16ClayThu 15 Oct · 10:00
Noemi MainesWTA #647 · ITA24%
VSClear favourite · Senic N.
Natalija Senic(3)WTA #408 · SRB76%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Senic N.
24%76%

Clear edge for Senic N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Maines N.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Senic N.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 574
Clay ELO1 520
Last 106–4
Age20
EarningsCareer $21K2026 $9K
ELO1 662
Clay ELO1 660
Last 104–6
Age23
EarningsCareer $88K2026 $14K

Noemi Maines faces Natalija Senic in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula round of 16 on clay. Natalija Senic is the paper favourite — ranked #408 — but Noemi Maines arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Natalija Senic's 4 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Maines N.Senic N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate57% (27–20) (ahead)54% (22–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15741662 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15201660 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 44 vs 36 matches
1st-serve points won57%57%
Return points won49%50% (ahead)
Aces / match0.50.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 44 vs 36 matches
Break points saved51% (ahead)47%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast22°C · Mainly clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity67%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Noemi Maines vs Natalija Senic — W35 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/maines-vs-senic-w35-santa-margherita-di-pula-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).