Tymon Litwic vs Oskari Paldanius | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

M15 Sharm ElSheikhR16HardThu 15 Oct · 08:30 UTC

Tymon LitwicPOL33%

VSClear favourite · Paldanius O.

Oskari Paldanius(7)ATP #787 · FIN67%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Paldanius O.

33%67%

Clear edge for Paldanius O. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Litwic T.4.7/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Paldanius O.4.4/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 507

Hard ELO1 508

Last 104–1

Age18

ELO1 555

Hard ELO1 536

Last 106–4

Age19

Tymon Litwic faces Oskari Paldanius in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh round of 16 on hard. Tymon Litwic brings the better recent hard form (4 of 5).

Key context

Last match: Tymon Litwic advanced when Essa Qabazard retired.
Last match: Oskari Paldanius dropped just 2 games past Igor Piasek.
Fatigue load: Tymon Litwic carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Litwic T.Paldanius O.

FormLast 5 vs 10 matches · 2026

Win–loss4–16–4

Season win rate80% (4–1)56% (15–12)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15071555

Hard-court ELO15081536

Serve vs returnLast 2 vs 25 matches

1st-serve points won79%63%

Return points won42%42%

Aces / match3.52.3

ClutchLast 2 vs 25 matches

Break points saved33%51%

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tymon Litwic vs Oskari Paldanius — M15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/litwic-vs-paldanius-m15-sharm-elsheikh-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).