UMPIRY
EN

Aoyi Li vs Sarah Ye — W15 Shenzhen Round of 16

W15 ShenzhenR16HardThu 15 Oct · 12:30
Aoyi LiCHN70%
VSClear favourite · Li A.
Sarah YeUSA30%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Li A.
70%30%

Clear edge for Li A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Li A.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Ye S.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 507
Hard ELO1 507
Last 103–0
Age18
ELO1 481
Hard ELO1 494
Last 103–7
Age16

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Li A.Ye S.
FormLast 3 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss3–0 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate100% (3–0) (ahead)33% (3–6)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1507 (ahead)1481
Hard-court ELO1507 (ahead)1494
Serve vs returnLast 2 vs 8 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)55%
Return points won66% (ahead)43%
Aces / match0.50.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 2 vs 8 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)47%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Mainly clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity58%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Aoyi Li vs Sarah Ye — W15 Shenzhen Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/li-vs-ye-w15-shenzhen-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).