Francisca Jorge vs Francesca Jones — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Round of 16

Lisboa Belem Open - LisbonR16ClayThu 15 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Jones F.
26%74%

Clear edge for Jones F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Jorge F.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Jones F.6.9/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+186 Clay Elo edgeSupports Jones F.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1619Supports Jones F.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Jones F.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 690
Clay ELO1 559
Last 106–4
Age26
EarningsCareer $482K2026 $138K
ELO1 802
Clay ELO1 725
Last 107–3
Age26
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $688K

Francisca Jorge faces Francesca Jones in the Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon round of 16 on clay. Francesca Jones holds the paper edge — ranked #104, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Jorge F. and Jones F. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Jorge F. went 1–1 (50%) against them, Jones F. 1–1 (50%).

1–150%Jorge F. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–150%Jones F. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–2Sets1–3
22–16Games11–17
0–1Tiebreaks0–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jorge F.Jones F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate54% (27–23)58% (31–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16901802 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15591725 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 52 matches
1st-serve points won61%61%
Return points won46%46%
Aces / match1.61.6
ClutchLast 47 vs 52 matches
Break points saved52%56% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast22°C · Partly cloudy
Wind3 km/h
Humidity57%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Jorge F.Jones F.
1Days since last match1
1Matches · 7 days1
27Games · 7 days19 — fresher
1Matches · 14 days1
27Games · 14 days19 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Francisca Jorge vs Francesca Jones — Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/jones-vs-jorge-lisboa-belem-open-lisbon-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).