Sydney Jara vs Lea Ma | W35 Redding Round of 16

UMPIRY

W35 ReddingR16HardThu 15 Oct · 13:00

Sydney JaraUSA10%

VSStrong favourite · Ma L.

Lea Ma(2)WTA #285 · USA90%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Ma L.

10%90%

Clear edge for Ma L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 10 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Jara S.4.7/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Ma L.4.4/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative

CountryWon 62% in USA (128)Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 510

Hard ELO1 510

Last 103–0

Age18

ELO1 629

Hard ELO1 599

Last 105–5

Age25

Sydney Jara faces Lea Ma in the W35 Redding round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Last match: Lea Ma dropped just 4 games past Juliana Nicole Singeorzan.
Last match: Sydney Jara handed Anita Sahdiieva a second-set bagel in a 6–2 6–0 win.
Fatigue load: Lea Ma carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jara S.Ma L.

FormLast 3 vs 10 matches · 2026

Win–loss3–05–5

Season win rate100% (3–0)53% (27–24)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15101629

Hard-court ELO15101599

Serve vs returnLast 1 vs 44 matches

1st-serve points won65%67%

Return points won56%44%

Aces / match0.02.8

ClutchLast 1 vs 44 matches

Break points saved0%59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium-slow

Forecast32°C · Clear

Wind12 km/h

Humidity11%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sydney Jara vs Lea Ma — W35 Redding Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/jara-vs-ma-w35-redding-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).