Estella Jaeger vs Tara Wuerth | W15 Bol Round of 16

UMPIRY

W15 BolR16ClayThu 15 Oct · 13:00

Estella JaegerGER8%

VSStrong favourite · Wuerth T.

Tara Wuerth(2)WTA #523 · CRO92%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Wuerth T.

8%92%

Clear edge for Wuerth T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 13 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Jaeger E.4.7/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Wuerth T.5.4/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on clayInformative

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 482

Clay ELO1 498

Last 107–3

Age26

ELO1 667

Clay ELO1 659

Last 104–6

Age24

Estella Jaeger faces Tara Wuerth in the W15 Bol round of 16 on clay. Estella Jaeger brings the better recent clay form (4 of 5).

Key context

Last match: Estella Jaeger dropped just 6 games past Mariia Masiianskaia.
Surface form: Estella Jaeger 4 of 5, Tara Wuerth 2 of 5 on clay recently — Estella Jaeger the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Jaeger E.Wuerth T.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–34–6

Season win rate58% (7–5)33% (2–4)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14821667

Clay-court ELO14981659

Serve vs returnLast 8 vs 6 matches

1st-serve points won54%54%

Return points won46%42%

Aces / match1.31.8

ClutchLast 8 vs 6 matches

Break points saved52%49%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local

SurfaceClay · slow

Forecast23°C · Overcast

Wind12 km/h

Humidity35%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Estella Jaeger vs Tara Wuerth — W15 Bol Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/jaeger-vs-wuerth-w15-bol-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).