Daniel Verbeek vs Saveliy Ivanov | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

M15 Sharm ElSheikhR16HardThu 15 Oct · 07:00 UTC

Daniel VerbeekNED49%

VSToss-up

Saveliy IvanovRUS51%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Verbeek D.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Ivanov S.4.2/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form2 of last 5 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 516

Hard ELO1 500

Last 107–3

Age22

ELO1 519

Hard ELO1 504

Last 106–4

Age22

Daniel Verbeek faces Saveliy Ivanov in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Last match: Daniel Verbeek dropped the opening set before beating Yurii Dzhavakian 3–6 6–4 6–1.
Last match: Saveliy Ivanov dropped just 5 games past Jan Sadzik.
Fatigue load: Daniel Verbeek carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Verbeek D.Ivanov S.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–36–4

Season win rate70% (7–3)50% (7–7)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15161519

Hard-court ELO15001504

Serve vs returnLast 9 vs 12 matches

1st-serve points won64%70%

Return points won41%41%

Aces / match1.12.2

ClutchLast 9 vs 12 matches

Break points saved64%60%

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Daniel Verbeek vs Saveliy Ivanov — M15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/ivanov-vs-verbeek-m15-sharm-elsheikh-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).