Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Nordquist A.
61%39%
Nordquist A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Nordquist A.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Hrazdil J.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 572
Hard ELO1 551
Last 108–2
Age28
PlaysRight
ELO1 523
Hard ELO1 541
Last 102–8
Age21
PlaysLeft
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Nordquist A.Hrazdil J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate73% (16–6) (ahead)15% (2–11)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1572 (ahead)1523
Hard-court ELO1551 (ahead)1541
Serve vs returnLast 10 vs 9 matches
1st-serve points won70% (ahead)64%
Return points won41% (ahead)34%
Aces / match1.8 (ahead)1.7
ClutchLast 10 vs 9 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)49%
Draw
Odds
Conditions
12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast15°C · Clear
Wind15 km/h
Humidity50%
Cite this
Umpiry, "Arvid Nordquist vs Jan Hrazdil — M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/hrazdil-vs-nordquist-m15-szabolcsveresmart-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).