UMPIRY
EN

Yanan Hou vs Adithya Karunaratne — W15 Shenzhen Round of 16

W15 ShenzhenR16HardThu 15 Oct · 11:00
Yanan HouWTA #1045 · CHN25%
VSClear favourite · Karunaratne A.
Adithya Karunaratne(6)WTA #517 · SRI75%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Karunaratne A.
25%75%

Clear edge for Karunaratne A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hou Y.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Karunaratne A.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 530
Hard ELO1 526
Last 105–5
Age21
ELO1 636
Hard ELO1 612
Last 107–3
Age24

Yanan Hou faces Adithya Karunaratne in the W15 Shenzhen round of 16 on hard. Adithya Karunaratne holds the paper edge — ranked #517.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hou Y.Karunaratne A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate52% (12–11)67% (24–12) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15301636 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15261612 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 22 vs 21 matches
1st-serve points won59%63% (ahead)
Return points won46%49% (ahead)
Aces / match1.11.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 22 vs 21 matches
Break points saved51%61% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Mainly clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity61%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yanan Hou vs Adithya Karunaratne — W15 Shenzhen Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/hou-vs-karunaratne-w15-shenzhen-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).