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Dana Guzman vs Caroline Dolehide — W100 Edmond Round of 32

W100 EdmondR32HardThu 15 Oct · 19:35
Dana GuzmanWTA #529 · PER14%
VSStrong favourite · Dolehide C.
Caroline DolehideWTA #215 · USA86%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Dolehide C.
14%86%

Clear edge for Dolehide C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Guzman D.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Dolehide C.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
CountryWon 70% in USA (44)Against the prediction · Guzman D.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 616
Hard ELO1 568
Last 109–1
Age23
EarningsCareer $27K2026 $12K
ELO1 751
Hard ELO1 652
Last 105–5
Age28
EarningsCareer $4.8M2026 $140K

Dana Guzman faces Caroline Dolehide in the W100 Edmond round of 32 on hard. Caroline Dolehide is the paper favourite — ranked #215 — but Dana Guzman arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on hard to Caroline Dolehide's 5 of 10.

Key context

  • Last match: Dana Guzman dropped just 3 games past Julia Adams.
  • Surface form: Dana Guzman 9 of 10, Caroline Dolehide 5 of 10 on hard recently — Dana Guzman the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Guzman D.Dolehide C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss9–1 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate75% (18–6) (ahead)56% (15–12)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16161751 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15681652 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 15 vs 20 matches
1st-serve points won58%63% (ahead)
Return points won50% (ahead)42%
Aces / match0.31.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 15 vs 20 matches
Break points saved55%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

19:35 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast21°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity93%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dana Guzman vs Caroline Dolehide — W100 Edmond Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/dolehide-vs-guzman-w100-edmond-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).