Eliakim Coulibaly vs L. Larue | M25 Luanda Round of 16

UMPIRY

M25 LuandaR16HardThu 15 Oct · 10:00

Eliakim Coulibaly(3)ATP #384 · CIV88%

VSStrong favourite · Coulibaly E.

L. LarueFRA12%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Coulibaly E.

88%12%

Clear edge for Coulibaly E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 8 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Coulibaly E.4.6/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Larue L.6.0/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 4Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 708

Hard ELO1 692

Last 106–4

Age24

ELO1 532

Hard ELO1 548

Last 105–5

Age22

Eliakim Coulibaly faces L. Larue in the M25 Luanda round of 16 on hard. Eliakim Coulibaly brings the better recent hard form (6 of 8).

Key context

Last match: Eliakim Coulibaly handed Guelord Kayombo a second-set bagel in a 6–1 6–0 win.
Surface form: Eliakim Coulibaly 6 of 8, L. Larue 3 of 8 on hard recently — Eliakim Coulibaly the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Eliakim Coulibaly carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Coulibaly E.Larue L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–45–5

Season win rate59% (20–14)38% (8–13)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17081532

Hard-court ELO16921548

Serve vs returnLast 29 vs 17 matches

1st-serve points won72%67%

Return points won40%39%

Aces / match5.13.2

ClutchLast 29 vs 17 matches

Break points saved60%52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast27°C · Overcast

Wind6 km/h

Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Eliakim Coulibaly vs L. Larue — M25 Luanda Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/coulibaly-vs-larue-m25-luanda-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).