Tommaso Compagnucci vs Branko Djuric — M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Quarter-final

M25 Santa Margherita di PulaQuarter-finalClayThu 15 Oct · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Compagnucci T.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Djuric B.4.4/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Surface form5 of last 10 on clayBoth players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 694
Clay ELO1 676
Last 106–4
Age26
Height173 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $108K2026 $23K
ELO1 689
Clay ELO1 667
Last 109–1
Age21
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $55K2026 $8K

Tommaso Compagnucci faces Branko Djuric in the M25 Santa Margherita di Pula quarter-final on clay. Tommaso Compagnucci is the paper favourite — ranked #372 — but Branko Djuric arrives in form, winning all 6 of their last clay matches to Tommaso Compagnucci's 3 of 6.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Compagnucci T.Djuric B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–49–1 (ahead)
Season win rate65% (24–13)83% (25–5) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1694 (ahead)1689
Clay-court ELO1676 (ahead)1667
Serve vs returnLast 34 vs 17 matches
1st-serve points won67%78% (ahead)
Return points won41%46% (ahead)
Aces / match2.65.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 34 vs 17 matches
Break points saved59%70% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast23°C · Overcast
Wind3 km/h
Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tommaso Compagnucci vs Branko Djuric — M25 Santa Margherita di Pula Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/compagnucci-vs-djuric-m25-santa-margherita-di-pula-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).