UMPIRY
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Lorenzo Claverie vs M. Mbithi — M15 Quito Round of 16

M15 QuitoR16ClayThu 15 Oct · 11:35
Lorenzo Claverie(8)ATP #889 · VEN40%
VSSlight edge · Mbithi M.
M. MbithiUSA60%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Mbithi M.
40%60%

Mbithi M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Claverie L.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Mbithi M.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 544
Clay ELO1 538
Last 104–6
Age24
ELO1 576
Clay ELO1 466
Last 106–4
Age28

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Claverie L.Mbithi M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate38% (3–5)55% (6–5) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15441576 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO1538 (ahead)1466
Serve vs returnLast 8 vs 4 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)73%
Return points won33%41% (ahead)
Aces / match7.4 (ahead)6.8
ClutchLast 8 vs 4 matches
Break points saved59%63% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:35 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Drizzle
Wind9 km/h
Humidity44%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lorenzo Claverie vs M. Mbithi — M15 Quito Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/claverie-vs-mbithi-m15-quito-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).