Defne Cirpanli vs Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas

UMPIRY

W15 ChisinauR16ClayThu 15 Oct · 11:00

Defne CirpanliWTA #1088 · TUR8%

VSStrong favourite · Dorofeeva-Rybas F.

Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas(5)WTA #709 · RUS92%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Dorofeeva-Rybas F.

8%92%

Clear edge for Dorofeeva-Rybas F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 13 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Cirpanli D.4.6/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Dorofeeva-Rybas F.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 415

Clay ELO1 405

Last 102–8

Age22

EarningsCareer $33K2026 $4K

ELO1 602

Clay ELO1 582

Last 108–2

Age16

EarningsCareer $10K2026 $5K

Defne Cirpanli faces Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas in the W15 Chisinau round of 16 on clay. Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas holds the paper edge — ranked #709.

Key context

Last match: Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas dropped just 4 games past Mirjana Jovanovic.
Last match: Defne Cirpanli handed Aliesia Reva a first-set bagel in a 6–0 3–6 6–3 win.
Surface form: Defne Cirpanli 2 of 9, Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas 8 of 9 on clay recently — Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Cirpanli D.Dorofeeva-Rybas F.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss2–88–2

Season win rate18% (4–18)83% (19–4)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14151602

Clay-court ELO14051582

Serve vs returnLast 18 vs 16 matches

1st-serve points won57%58%

Return points won41%57%

Aces / match1.40.6

ClutchLast 18 vs 16 matches

Break points saved49%52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast10°C · Partly cloudy

Wind9 km/h

Humidity75%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Defne Cirpanli vs Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas — W15 Chisinau Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/cirpanli-vs-rybas-w15-chisinau-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).