Yash Chaurasia vs Jack Loge | M25 Luanda Round of 16

UMPIRY

M25 LuandaR16HardThu 15 Oct · 11:30

Yash ChaurasiaIND15%

VSStrong favourite · Loge J.

Jack Loge(6)ATP #497 · BEL85%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Loge J.

15%85%

Clear edge for Loge J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Chaurasia Y.5.4/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Loge J.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form2 of last 5 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 487

Hard ELO1 484

Last 105–5

Age24

ELO1 643

Hard ELO1 560

Last 107–3

Age21

Yash Chaurasia faces Jack Loge in the M25 Luanda round of 16 on hard. Jack Loge brings the better recent hard form (3 of 4).

Key context

Last match: Yash Chaurasia dropped just 5 games past Martim Bernardo.
Last match: Jack Loge dropped just 4 games past N. Ianin.
Surface form: Yash Chaurasia 2 of 4, Jack Loge 3 of 4 on hard recently — Jack Loge the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Chaurasia Y.Loge J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–57–3

Season win rate67% (4–2)63% (22–13)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14871643

Hard-court ELO14841560

Serve vs returnLast 5 vs 31 matches

1st-serve points won76%68%

Return points won39%43%

Aces / match3.41.9

ClutchLast 5 vs 31 matches

Break points saved58%58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast27°C · Overcast

Wind10 km/h

Humidity67%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yash Chaurasia vs Jack Loge — M25 Luanda Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/chaurasia-vs-loge-m25-luanda-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).