Federica Sacco vs Emilia Carlotta Brune

UMPIRY

W15 Sharm ElSheikhR16HardThu 15 Oct · 08:00 UTC

Federica Sacco(6)WTA #711 · ITA72%

VSClear favourite · Sacco F.

Emilia Carlotta BruneWTA #1177 · GER28%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sacco F.

72%28%

Clear edge for Sacco F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Sacco F.5.1/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Brune E.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Sacco F.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 571

Hard ELO1 564

Last 105–5

Age24

ELO1 509

Hard ELO1 521

Last 107–3

Age17

Federica Sacco faces Emilia Carlotta Brune in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh round of 16 on hard. Federica Sacco is the paper favourite — ranked #711, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Emilia Carlotta Brune arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Federica Sacco's 3 of 6.

Key context

Last match: Federica Sacco dropped just 5 games past Ioana Stefania Boian.
Last match: Emilia Carlotta Brune dropped just 3 games past Alessandra Fiorillo.
Head-to-head: Federica Sacco leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W15 Heraklion 4 2025.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Sacco F. leads 1–0

Sacco F.September 2025W15 Heraklion 4Hard6-2 4-6 6-3

Evidence

Sacco F.Brune E.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–57–3

Season win rate51% (21–20)64% (7–4)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15711509

Hard-court ELO15641521

Serve vs returnLast 36 vs 9 matches

1st-serve points won60%56%

Return points won47%48%

Aces / match1.01.0

ClutchLast 36 vs 9 matches

Break points saved51%46%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

08:00 UTC

SurfaceHard · medium

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Federica Sacco vs Emilia Carlotta Brune — W15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/brune-vs-sacco-w15-sharm-elsheikh-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).