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Elvina Kalieva vs Savannah Broadus — W100 Edmond Round of 32

W100 EdmondR32HardThu 15 Oct · 19:35
Elvina Kalieva(3)WTA #112 · USA80%
VSStrong favourite · Kalieva E.
Savannah BroadusWTA #303 · USA20%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Kalieva E.
80%20%

Clear edge for Kalieva E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kalieva E.6.1/10
Even match
Broadus S.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface+27 Hard Elo edgeSupports Kalieva E.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1569Supports Kalieva E.
CountryWon 64% in USA (78)Against the prediction · Broadus S.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 706
Hard ELO1 627
Last 104–6
Age23
EarningsCareer $712K2026 $281K
ELO1 595
Hard ELO1 567
Last 104–6
Age24
EarningsCareer $53K2026 $35K

Elvina Kalieva faces Savannah Broadus in the W100 Edmond round of 32 on hard. Elvina Kalieva holds the paper edge — ranked #112, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Elvina Kalieva carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 4 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kalieva E.Broadus S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–64–6
Season win rate56% (34–27)58% (21–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1706 (ahead)1595
Hard-court ELO1627 (ahead)1567
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 22 matches
1st-serve points won67% (ahead)63%
Return points won44%48% (ahead)
Aces / match3.9 (ahead)1.8
ClutchLast 56 vs 22 matches
Break points saved54%54%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

19:35 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast21°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity93%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Elvina Kalieva vs Savannah Broadus — W100 Edmond Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/broadus-vs-kalieva-w100-edmond-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).