Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Fleur De Bresser

UMPIRY

W15 Sharm ElSheikhR16HardThu 15 Oct · 09:30 UTC

Ustiniya LekomtsevaWTA #960 · RUS73%

VSClear favourite · Lekomtseva U.

Fleur De BresserNED27%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Lekomtseva U.

73%27%

Clear edge for Lekomtseva U. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Lekomtseva U.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

De Bresser F.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 526

Hard ELO1 534

Last 104–6

Age20

ELO1 504

Hard ELO1 503

Last 104–4

Age17

Ustiniya Lekomtseva faces Fleur De Bresser in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Last match: Ustiniya Lekomtseva dropped the opening set before beating A. Roots 6–7 6–1 6–2.
Last match: Fleur De Bresser dropped the opening set before beating Anna Snigireva 5–7 6–2 7–5.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Lekomtseva U.De Bresser F.

FormLast 10 vs 8 matches · 2026

Win–loss4–64–4

Season win rate50% (11–11)40% (2–3)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15261504

Hard-court ELO15341503

Serve vs returnLast 15 vs 5 matches

1st-serve points won56%62%

Return points won48%45%

Aces / match0.82.4

ClutchLast 15 vs 5 matches

Break points saved57%47%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:30 UTC

SurfaceHard · medium

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Fleur De Bresser — W15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/bresser-vs-lekomtseva-w15-sharm-elsheikh-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).