Mykyta Mashtakov vs H. Best | M15 Bol Round of 16

UMPIRY

M15 BolR16ClayThu 15 Oct · 09:30

Mykyta Mashtakov(3)ATP #514 · UKR82%

VSStrong favourite · Mashtakov M.

H. BestGBR18%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Mashtakov M.

82%18%

Clear edge for Mashtakov M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Mashtakov M.5.8/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Best H.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on clayInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 649

Clay ELO1 634

Last 108–2

Age27

ELO1 503

Clay ELO1 502

Last 105–4

Age19

Mykyta Mashtakov faces H. Best in the M15 Bol round of 16 on clay. Mykyta Mashtakov brings the better recent clay form (8 of 9).

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Mykyta Mashtakov rising, H. Best cooling.
Last match: H. Best dropped just 4 games past Piet Luis Pinter.
Surface form: Mykyta Mashtakov 8 of 9, H. Best 5 of 9 on clay recently — Mykyta Mashtakov the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mashtakov M.Best H.

FormLast 10 vs 9 matches · 2026

Win–loss8–25–4

Season win rate82% (27–6)56% (5–4)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16491503

Clay-court ELO16341502

Serve vs returnLast 32 vs 6 matches

1st-serve points won65%61%

Return points won46%41%

Aces / match1.51.0

ClutchLast 32 vs 6 matches

Break points saved61%60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:30 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast19°C · Overcast

Wind6 km/h

Humidity44%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mykyta Mashtakov vs H. Best — M15 Bol Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/best-vs-mashtakov-m15-bol-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).