Karim Bennani vs D. Tremblay | M25 Luanda Round of 16

UMPIRY

M25 LuandaR16HardThu 15 Oct · 11:30

Karim Bennani(5)ATP #433 · MAR82%

VSStrong favourite · Bennani K.

D. TremblayFRA18%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Bennani K.

82%18%

Clear edge for Bennani K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Bennani K.5.8/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Tremblay D.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 7 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 616

Hard ELO1 564

Last 106–4

Age19

ELO1 501

Hard ELO1 496

Last 105–5

Age24

Karim Bennani faces D. Tremblay in the M25 Luanda round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Form trend: D. Tremblay's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Karim Bennani's has cooled.
Last match: Karim Bennani dropped just 5 games past Pavel Skvortcov.
Fatigue load: Karim Bennani carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bennani K.Tremblay D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–45–5

Season win rate64% (25–14)52% (13–12)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16161501

Hard-court ELO15641496

Serve vs returnLast 29 vs 18 matches

1st-serve points won69%68%

Return points won41%43%

Aces / match2.32.8

ClutchLast 29 vs 18 matches

Break points saved57%59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast27°C · Overcast

Wind10 km/h

Humidity67%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Karim Bennani vs D. Tremblay — M25 Luanda Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/bennani-vs-tremblay-m25-luanda-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).