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Gavin Goode vs P. Bastiaansen — M15 Lexington Round of 16

M15 LexingtonR16HardThu 15 Oct · 13:00
Gavin GoodeUSA46%
VSToss-up
P. BastiaansenNED54%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Goode G.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Bastiaansen P.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 506
Hard ELO1 511
Last 105–5
Age18
ELO1 532
Hard ELO1 533
Last 107–3
Age21

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Goode G.Bastiaansen P.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (2–2)70% (7–3) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15061532 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15111533 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 2 vs 4 matches
1st-serve points won68%70% (ahead)
Return points won56% (ahead)48%
Aces / match1.52.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 2 vs 4 matches
Break points saved83% (ahead)68%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast25°C · Partly cloudy
Wind9 km/h
Humidity86%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Gavin Goode vs P. Bastiaansen — M15 Lexington Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/bastiaansen-vs-goode-m15-lexington-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).