Felix Balshaw vs Matisse Bobichon | Roanne Round of 16

UMPIRY

RoanneR16HardThu 15 Oct · 11:00CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · Next on

Felix BalshawATP #198 · FRA57%

VSToss-up

Matisse BobichonATP #571 · FRA43%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Balshaw F.6.3/10

Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Bobichon M.5.3/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form7 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Bobichon M.

Long matches4 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Bobichon M.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 669

Hard ELO1 579

Last 107–3

Age20

EarningsCareer $76K2026 $58K

ELO1 632

Hard ELO1 618

Last 107–3

Age24

EarningsCareer $22K2026 $7K

Felix Balshaw faces Matisse Bobichon in the Roanne round of 16 on hard. Felix Balshaw holds the paper edge — ranked #198. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Felix Balshaw 128 games in 14 days, Matisse Bobichon 0.
Last match: Matisse Bobichon edged Billy Harris in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).
Surface form: Both 7 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Balshaw F.Bobichon M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–37–3

Season win rate66% (29–15)63% (20–12)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16691632

Hard-court ELO15791618

Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 27 matches

1st-serve points won73%72%

Return points won39%39%

Aces / match8.25.6

ClutchLast 43 vs 27 matches

Break points saved61%67%

When it starts

CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · Next on · Starts at 11:00

1This match: Balshaw F. v Bobichon M.This match
2Stricker D. v Virtanen O.Not before 12:30
3Kym J. v Blanchet U.Followed by
4Donnet E. v Martineau M.Not before 16:30
5Kouame M. v Budkov Kjaer N.Not before 18:30

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTRAL A.VACHERESSE · 11:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast14°C · Mainly clear

Wind8 km/h

Humidity88%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Balshaw F.Bobichon M.

1Days since last match17

1Matches · 7 days0

33Games · 7 days0

4Matches · 14 days0

128Games · 14 days0

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Felix Balshaw vs Matisse Bobichon — Roanne Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/balshaw-vs-bobichon-roanne-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).