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R. Neimanis vs A. Arzhankin — M15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 16

M15 Sharm ElSheikhR16HardThu 15 Oct · 08:30 UTC
R. NeimanisLAT46%
VSToss-up
A. Arzhankin(5)ATP #671 · RUS54%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Neimanis R.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Arzhankin A.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 505
Hard ELO1 500
Last 106–4
Age18
ELO1 539
Hard ELO1 517
Last 107–3
Age56

R. Neimanis faces A. Arzhankin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh round of 16 on hard. A. Arzhankin brings the better recent hard form (5 of 7).

Key context

  • Last match: R. Neimanis dropped just 6 games past Dylan Bairo.
  • Surface form: R. Neimanis 4 of 7, A. Arzhankin 5 of 7 on hard recently — A. Arzhankin the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: A. Arzhankin carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Neimanis R.Arzhankin A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate67% (6–3)67% (16–8)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15051539 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15001517 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 5 vs 15 matches
1st-serve points won68%71% (ahead)
Return points won42%43% (ahead)
Aces / match2.04.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 5 vs 15 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "R. Neimanis vs A. Arzhankin — M15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/arzhankin-vs-neimanis-m15-sharm-elsheikh-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).