UMPIRY
EN

Nina Radovanovic vs Maria Andrienko — W35 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16

W35 Santa Margherita di PulaR16ClayThu 15 Oct · 10:00
Nina RadovanovicWTA #606 · FRA76%
VSClear favourite · Radovanovic N.
Maria AndrienkoWTA #885 · RUS24%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Radovanovic N.
76%24%

Clear edge for Radovanovic N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Radovanovic N.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Andrienko M.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 648
Clay ELO1 591
Last 107–3
Age22
EarningsCareer $79K2026 $10K
ELO1 564
Clay ELO1 556
Last 106–4
Age22
EarningsCareer $21K2026 $6K

Nina Radovanovic faces Maria Andrienko in the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula round of 16 on clay. Nina Radovanovic holds the paper edge — ranked #606. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Nina Radovanovic 7 of 10, Maria Andrienko 6 of 10 on clay recently — Nina Radovanovic the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Radovanovic N.Andrienko M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate76% (32–10) (ahead)66% (25–13)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1648 (ahead)1564
Clay-court ELO1591 (ahead)1556
Serve vs returnLast 23 vs 26 matches
1st-serve points won61% (ahead)58%
Return points won50%50%
Aces / match1.9 (ahead)0.3
ClutchLast 23 vs 26 matches
Break points saved51%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast22°C · Mainly clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity67%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nina Radovanovic vs Maria Andrienko — W35 Santa Margherita di Pula Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/andrienko-vs-radovanovic-w35-santa-margherita-di-pula-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).