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Ayana Akli vs Hina Inoue — W50 Quebec City Round of 16

W50 Quebec CityR16HardThu 15 Oct · 12:30
Ayana Akli(8)WTA #282 · USA31%
VSClear favourite · Inoue H.
Hina InoueWTA #319 · USA69%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Inoue H.
31%69%

Clear edge for Inoue H. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Akli A.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Inoue H.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+63 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Akli A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1381Against the prediction · Akli A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 638
Hard ELO1 612
Last 104–6
Age25
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $203K2026 $77K
ELO1 690
Hard ELO1 660
Last 105–5
Age23
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $309K2026 $20K

Ayana Akli faces Hina Inoue in the W50 Quebec City round of 16 on hard. Ayana Akli holds the paper edge — ranked #282, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Last match: Hina Inoue dropped just 5 games past Ana Grubor.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Ayana Akli 4 of 10, Hina Inoue 5 of 10 on hard recently — Hina Inoue the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Akli A.Inoue H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate48% (21–23)58% (25–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16381690 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16121660 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 28 vs 42 matches
1st-serve points won57%66% (ahead)
Return points won43%44% (ahead)
Aces / match0.94.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 28 vs 42 matches
Break points saved47%52% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast8°C · Clear
Wind20 km/h
Humidity66%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ayana Akli vs Hina Inoue — W50 Quebec City Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/akli-vs-inoue-w50-quebec-city-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).