Amelia Rajecki vs Jessika Ponchet — W35 Birmingham Round of 16
Amelia Rajecki faces Jessika Ponchet in the W35 Birmingham round of 16 on hard. Jessika Ponchet holds the paper edge — ranked #310, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage.
Key context
- Form trend: Amelia Rajecki's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Jessika Ponchet's has cooled.
- Last match: Jessika Ponchet dropped just 5 games past Hollie Smart.
Serve flowRajecki A. unbroken · Ponchet J. unbroken.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Rajecki A.7/7Ponchet J.9/9
Set 1Set 2
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsRajecki A.Ponchet J.Swinging toPonchet J.40
4Last 12 points8
6Last 3 games11
0/0Break points0/3
30 pointsNow
Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- HOLD 0Set 2 · Game 7Ponchet J. held to love
- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 7Rajecki A. held to love
Pre-match context
Ponchet J. came in with the higher hard rating (1621 vs 1611).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
25%75%
Umpiry Score
3.4/10/105.2
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Rajecki A.Ponchet J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate59% (26–18) (ahead)57% (17–13)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16051696 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16111621 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 35 vs 29 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)69%
Return points won40%43% (ahead)
Aces / match6.4 (ahead)4.2
ClutchLast 35 vs 29 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)55%
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Amelia Rajecki vs Jessika Ponchet — W35 Birmingham Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/ponchet-vs-rajecki-w35-birmingham-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).