Pedro Sakamoto vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

UMPIRY

M15 MaringaR32ClayWed 14 Oct · 14:35

Pedro Sakamoto(1)ATP #482 · BRA77%

VSClear favourite · Sakamoto P.

Joao Victor Couto LoureiroBRA23%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sakamoto P.

77%23%

Clear edge for Sakamoto P. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Sakamoto P.6.1/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Couto Loureiro J.5.5/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on claySupports Sakamoto P.

Recent runLost last 4Informative

Head-to-headLeads 2–1 on clayInformative

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 672

Clay ELO1 650

Last 108–2

Age33

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $292K2026 $16K

ELO1 521

Clay ELO1 504

Last 105–5

Age23

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $51K2026 $13K

Pedro Sakamoto faces Joao Victor Couto Loureiro in the M15 Maringa round of 32 on clay. Pedro Sakamoto holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–1.

Key context

Freshness: Pedro Sakamoto comes in with 13 days of rest and 37 games in 14d, vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro's 10 and 22.
Head-to-head: Pedro Sakamoto leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at M25 Mosquera 1 2023.
Surface form: Pedro Sakamoto 7 of 8, Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 5 of 8 on clay recently — Pedro Sakamoto the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Sakamoto P. leads 2–1

Sakamoto P.March 2023M25 Mosquera 1Clay6-3 6-4
Couto Loureiro J.August 2022M15 Recife 1Clay2-6 6-2 3-1
Sakamoto P.December 2021Florianopolis CHClay6-3 6-3

Evidence

Sakamoto P.Couto Loureiro J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–25–5

Season win rate54% (22–19)42% (11–15)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16721521

Clay-court ELO16501504

Serve vs returnLast 35 vs 19 matches

1st-serve points won68%65%

Return points won40%41%

Aces / match3.13.4

ClutchLast 35 vs 19 matches

Break points saved65%54%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:35 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast25°C · Drizzle

Wind18 km/h

Humidity73%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Sakamoto P.Couto Loureiro J.

13Days since last match10

0Matches · 7 days0

0Games · 7 days0

2Matches · 14 days1

37Games · 14 days22

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Pedro Sakamoto vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro — M15 Maringa Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/loureiro-vs-sakamoto-m15-maringa-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).