Mariia Tkacheva vs Jenny Lim — W35 Monastir R256

W35 MonastirR256HardWed 14 Oct · 14:21
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Tkacheva M.
62%38%

Tkacheva M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tkacheva M.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Lim J.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 661
Hard ELO1 647
Last 106–4
Age24
EarningsCareer $102K2026 $9K
ELO1 621
Hard ELO1 559
Last 106–4
Age21
EarningsCareer $118K2026 $23K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tkacheva M.Lim J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate47% (8–9)65% (30–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1661 (ahead)1621
Hard-court ELO1647 (ahead)1559
Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 38 matches
1st-serve points won63%64% (ahead)
Return points won44%50% (ahead)
Aces / match2.7 (ahead)1.4
ClutchLast 16 vs 38 matches
Break points saved46%51% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:21 local
SurfaceHard · slow
Forecast25°C · Mainly clear
Wind16 km/h
Humidity52%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mariia Tkacheva vs Jenny Lim — W35 Monastir R256", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/lim-vs-tkacheva-w35-monastir-r256?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).