Arthur Weber vs Yuta Kikuchi | M25 Qian Daohu Round of 32

UMPIRY

M25 Qian DaohuR32HardWed 14 Oct · 05:05 UTC

Arthur Weber(5)ATP #409 · FRA65%

VSSlight edge · Weber A.

Yuta KikuchiJPN35%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Weber A.

65%35%

Weber A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Weber A.5.8/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Kikuchi Y.6.3/10

Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Kikuchi Y.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 684

Hard ELO1 669

Last 106–4

Age34

Height185 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $106K2026 $8K

ELO1 610

Hard ELO1 596

Last 105–5

Age27

Height173 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $40K2026 $4K

Arthur Weber faces Yuta Kikuchi in the M25 Qian Daohu round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Arthur Weber comes in with 14 days of rest and 18 games in 14d, vs Yuta Kikuchi's 7 and 56.
Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Yuta Kikuchi rising, Arthur Weber cooling.
Surface form: Arthur Weber 6 of 10, Yuta Kikuchi 5 of 10 on hard recently — Arthur Weber the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Weber A.Kikuchi Y.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–45–5

Season win rate54% (15–13)47% (7–8)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16841610

Hard-court ELO16691596

Serve vs returnLast 27 vs 14 matches

1st-serve points won66%66%

Return points won40%38%

Aces / match2.12.3

ClutchLast 27 vs 14 matches

Break points saved59%54%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Weber A.Kikuchi Y.

14Days since last match7

0Matches · 7 days1

0Games · 7 days17

1Matches · 14 days3

18Games · 14 days56

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Arthur Weber vs Yuta Kikuchi — M25 Qian Daohu Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/kikuchi-vs-weber-m25-qian-daohu-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).