Dominic Stricker vs Philip Henning — Roanne Round of 32

RoanneR32HardWed 14 Oct · 10:30COURT 1 BELGIQUE · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
54%46%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Stricker D.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Henning P.6.1/10
Even match
Why
Surface+24 Hard Elo edgeSupports Stricker D.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1533Supports Stricker D.
Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 808
Hard ELO1 683
Last 107–3
Age24
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $51K
ELO1 748
Hard ELO1 728
Last 106–4
Age25
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $116K2026 $39K

Dominic Stricker faces Philip Henning in the Roanne round of 32 on hard. Dominic Stricker is the paper favourite — ranked #263, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage — but Philip Henning arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 4 on hard to Dominic Stricker's 2 of 4.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Stricker D. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Stricker D.Henning P.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate63% (24–14) (ahead)63% (29–17)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1808 (ahead)1748
Hard-court ELO16831728 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 24 vs 26 matches
1st-serve points won78% (ahead)70%
Return points won39%42% (ahead)
Aces / match5.8 (ahead)3.1
ClutchLast 24 vs 26 matches
Break points saved56%61% (ahead)

When it starts

COURT 1 BELGIQUE · Next on · Starts at 10:30

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 1 BELGIQUE · 10:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast15°C · Fog
Wind2 km/h
Humidity95%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Stricker D.Henning P.
6 — fresherDays since last match5
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
19 — fresherGames · 7 days46
4 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
81 — fresherGames · 14 days113
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dominic Stricker vs Philip Henning — Roanne Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/henning-vs-stricker-roanne-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).