UMPIRY
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Yaojie Zeng vs X. Han — M25 Qian Daohu Round of 32

M25 Qian DaohuR32HardWed 14 Oct · 05:05 UTC
Yaojie ZengCHN65%
VSSlight edge · Zeng Y.
X. HanCHN35%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Zeng Y.
65%35%

Zeng Y. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zeng Y.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Han X.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form1 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardSupports Zeng Y.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 533
Hard ELO1 514
Last 103–7
Age24
ELO1 496
Hard ELO1 492
Last 104–6
Age20

Yaojie Zeng faces X. Han in the M25 Qian Daohu round of 32 on hard. Yaojie Zeng holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 2–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Yaojie Zeng leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at M25 Luan 2026.
  • Fatigue load: X. Han carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Yaojie Zeng 3 of 10, X. Han 4 of 10 on hard recently — X. Han the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · Zeng Y. leads 2–0
20

Evidence

Zeng Y.Han X.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–74–6 (ahead)
Season win rate35% (6–11)50% (11–11) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1533 (ahead)1496
Hard-court ELO1514 (ahead)1492
Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 13 matches
1st-serve points won70%72% (ahead)
Return points won31%36% (ahead)
Aces / match6.3 (ahead)5.4
ClutchLast 11 vs 13 matches
Break points saved44%59% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yaojie Zeng vs X. Han — M25 Qian Daohu Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/han-vs-zeng-m25-qian-daohu-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).