Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Marek W.
77%23%
Clear edge for Marek W. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Marek W.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Gubi T.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 6Informative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Marek W.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 579
Hard ELO1 562
Last 106–4
Age25
ELO1 481
Hard ELO1 492
Last 105–5
Age21
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Marek W.Gubi T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate68% (13–6) (ahead)50% (5–5)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1579 (ahead)1481
Hard-court ELO1562 (ahead)1492
Serve vs returnLast 10 vs 7 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)60%
Return points won40%44% (ahead)
Aces / match3.7 (ahead)1.4
ClutchLast 10 vs 7 matches
Break points saved56% (ahead)50%
Draw
Odds
Conditions
10:05 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast8°C · Mainly clear
Wind2 km/h
Humidity66%
Cite this
Umpiry, "Wojciech Marek vs Trisztan Gubi — M15 Szabolcsveresmart Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/gubi-vs-marek-m15-szabolcsveresmart-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).