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Izan Almazan Valiente vs Felix Gill — San Gregorio di Catania Round of 16

San Gregorio di CataniaR16ClayWed 14 Oct · 10:30COURT 5 · Next on
Izan Almazan ValienteATP #428 · ESP33%
VSClear favourite · Gill F.
Felix Gill(4)ATP #222 · GBR67%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Gill F.
33%67%

Clear edge for Gill F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Almazan Valiente I.6.6/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Gill F.6.3/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form8 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Almazan Valiente I.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 611
Clay ELO1 552
Last 108–2
Age20
EarningsCareer $32K2026 $17K
ELO1 743
Clay ELO1 740
Last 105–5
Age24
EarningsCareer $389K2026 $216K

Izan Almazan Valiente faces Felix Gill in the San Gregorio di Catania round of 16 on clay. Felix Gill is the paper favourite — ranked #222 — but Izan Almazan Valiente arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 8 on clay to Felix Gill's 5 of 8.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Almazan Valiente I.Gill F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate65% (24–13) (ahead)53% (25–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16111743 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15521740 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 24 vs 38 matches
1st-serve points won67%69% (ahead)
Return points won42% (ahead)36%
Aces / match2.64.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 24 vs 38 matches
Break points saved52%62% (ahead)

When it starts

COURT 5 · Next on · Starts at 10:30
  • 1This match: Almazan Valiente I. v Gill F.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT 5 · 10:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast18°C · Clear
Wind7 km/h
Humidity54%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Almazan Valiente I.Gill F.
1Days since last match1
1Matches · 7 days1
29Games · 7 days15 — fresher
1Matches · 14 days1
29Games · 14 days15 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Izan Almazan Valiente vs Felix Gill — San Gregorio di Catania Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/gill-vs-valiente-san-gregorio-di-catania-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).