UMPIRY
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Mason Vaughan vs Abel Forger — M25 Austin Round of 32

M25 AustinR32HardWed 14 Oct · 11:30
Mason VaughanUSA11%
VSStrong favourite · Forger A.
Abel ForgerATP #786 · NED89%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Forger A.
11%89%

Clear edge for Forger A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 9 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Vaughan M.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Forger A.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 496
Hard ELO1 496
Last 101–2
Age17
ELO1 620
Hard ELO1 574
Last 107–3
Age21

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Vaughan M.Forger A.
FormLast 3 vs 10 matches
Win–loss1–27–3 (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14961620 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14961574 (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast30°C · Mainly clear
Wind17 km/h
Humidity66%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mason Vaughan vs Abel Forger — M25 Austin Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/forger-vs-vaughan-m25-austin-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).