Sofia Camila Rojas vs Chelsea Fontenel

UMPIRY

W35 MonastirR256HardWed 14 Oct · 09:35

Sofia Camila RojasWTA #692 · USA69%

VSClear favourite · Rojas S.

Chelsea FontenelWTA #571 · SUI31%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Rojas S.

69%31%

Clear edge for Rojas S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Rojas S.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Fontenel C.6.0/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Rojas S.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 595

Hard ELO1 597

Last 107–3

Age23

EarningsCareer $18K2026 $4K

ELO1 540

Hard ELO1 525

Last 105–5

Age22

EarningsCareer $38K2026 $11K

Sofia Camila Rojas faces Chelsea Fontenel in the W35 Monastir r256 on hard. They have met once, Sofia Camila Rojas leading 1–0. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Sofia Camila Rojas dropped just 6 games past Nina Sozaonova.
Head-to-head: Sofia Camila Rojas leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at W15 Monastir 21 2026.
Surface form: Sofia Camila Rojas 6 of 9, Chelsea Fontenel 5 of 9 on hard recently — Sofia Camila Rojas the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Rojas S. leads 1–0

Rojas S.July 2026W15 Monastir 21Hard3-6 4-6

Evidence

Rojas S.Fontenel C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–35–5

Season win rate71% (22–9)55% (22–18)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15951540

Hard-court ELO15971525

Serve vs returnLast 18 vs 32 matches

1st-serve points won64%62%

Return points won46%45%

Aces / match1.72.2

ClutchLast 18 vs 32 matches

Break points saved58%53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:35 local

SurfaceHard · slow

Forecast23°C · Mainly clear

Wind15 km/h

Humidity60%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sofia Camila Rojas vs Chelsea Fontenel — W35 Monastir R256", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/fontenel-vs-rojas-w35-monastir-r256?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).