UMPIRY
EN

V. Gogineni vs Felix Corwin — M15 Lexington Round of 32

M15 LexingtonR32HardWed 14 Oct · 12:00
V. GogineniATP #753 · USA25%
VSClear favourite · Corwin F.
Felix CorwinATP #874 · USA75%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Corwin F.
25%75%

Clear edge for Corwin F. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Gogineni V.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Corwin F.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 61% in USA (31)Against the prediction · Gogineni V.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 536
Hard ELO1 529
Last 106–4
Age56
ELO1 602
Hard ELO1 564
Last 105–5
Age30

V. Gogineni faces Felix Corwin in the M15 Lexington round of 32 on hard. V. Gogineni holds the paper edge — ranked #753. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Felix Corwin carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 5 of 9 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Gogineni V.Corwin F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate58% (11–8) (ahead)47% (9–10)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15361602 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15291564 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 6 vs 18 matches
1st-serve points won64%73% (ahead)
Return points won34%40% (ahead)
Aces / match1.36.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 6 vs 18 matches
Break points saved47%54% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast29°C · Partly cloudy
Wind19 km/h
Humidity57%

Cite this

Umpiry, "V. Gogineni vs Felix Corwin — M15 Lexington Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/corwin-vs-gogineni-m15-lexington-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).