Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni — Olbia Round of 16
Why
Surface+449 Hard Elo edgeSupports Nardi L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1585Supports Nardi L.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Carboni L.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 753
Hard ELO1 650
Last 104–6
Age23
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.4M2026 $256K
ELO1 639
Hard ELO1 596
Last 105–5
Age20
Height168 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $98K2026 $24K
Luca Nardi faces Lorenzo Carboni in the Olbia round of 16 on hard. Luca Nardi holds the paper edge — ranked #251, a roughly 450-point hard Elo advantage.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Luca Nardi 20 games in 14 days, Lorenzo Carboni 24.
- Last match: Luca Nardi dropped the opening set before beating August Holmgren 4–6 6–4 6–4.
- Last match: Lorenzo Carboni advanced when Mackenzie Mcdonald retired.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Nardi L.Carboni L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate45% (15–18) (ahead)44% (22–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1753 (ahead)1639
Hard-court ELO1650 (ahead)1596
Serve vs returnLast 22 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)62%
Return points won38%41% (ahead)
Aces / match4.7 (ahead)1.7
ClutchLast 22 vs 40 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)50%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Luca Nardi vs Lorenzo Carboni — Olbia Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/carboni-vs-nardi-olbia-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).