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Lexington Reed vs Arina Bulatova — W35 Redding Round of 32

W35 ReddingR32HardWed 14 Oct · 11:35
Lexington ReedWTA #910 · USA26%
VSClear favourite · Bulatova A.
Arina BulatovaWTA #631 · RUS74%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Bulatova A.
26%74%

Clear edge for Bulatova A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Reed L.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Bulatova A.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
CountryWon 44% in USA (71)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 511
Hard ELO1 528
Last 106–4
Age20
EarningsCareer $18K2026 $3K
ELO1 598
Hard ELO1 537
Last 105–5
Age20
EarningsCareer $44K2026 $9K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Reed L.Bulatova A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate60% (6–4) (ahead)56% (19–15)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15111598 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15281537 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 4 vs 26 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)56%
Return points won40%48% (ahead)
Aces / match3.0 (ahead)0.5
ClutchLast 4 vs 26 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:35 local
SurfaceHard · medium-slow
Forecast27°C · Clear
Wind20 km/h
Humidity16%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lexington Reed vs Arina Bulatova — W35 Redding Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/bulatova-vs-reed-w35-redding-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).