Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Nuria Brancaccio

UMPIRY

MallorcaR16GrassWed 14 Oct · 11:00

Andrea Lazaro Garcia(5)WTA #143 · ESP56%

VSToss-up

Nuria BrancaccioWTA #232 · ITA44%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

56%44%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Lazaro Garcia A.6.9/10

Slight advantage

Brancaccio N.4.6/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+88 Grass Elo edgeSupports Lazaro Garcia A.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1618Supports Lazaro Garcia A.

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on grassSupports Lazaro Garcia A.

This eventReached the semis here last yearSupports Lazaro Garcia A.

ELO1 743

Grass ELO1 493

Last 106–4

Age31

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $577K2026 $145K

ELO1 668

Grass ELO1 458

Last 106–4

Age26

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $621K2026 $144K

Andrea Lazaro Garcia faces Nuria Brancaccio in the Mallorca round of 16 on grass. Andrea Lazaro Garcia holds the paper edge — ranked #143, defending last year's semi-final, a roughly 90-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, Andrea Lazaro Garcia ahead 1–0 on grass.

Key context

Freshness: Andrea Lazaro Garcia comes in with 1 days of rest and 52 games in 14d, vs Nuria Brancaccio's 18 and 0.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Andrea Lazaro Garcia has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 35 vs 12).
Last match: Andrea Lazaro Garcia handed Yasmine Kabbaj a second-set bagel in a 7–6 6–0 win.

Common opponents

2 shared · last 12 months

Lazaro Garcia A. and Brancaccio N. faced 2 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Lazaro Garcia A. went 2–0 (100%) against them, Brancaccio N. 1–1 (50%).

2–0100%Lazaro Garcia A. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–150%Brancaccio N. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

4–1Sets2–2

28–19Games15–18

1–0Deciding sets0–0

Only 2 common opponents — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Kalinina A.#48W3-6 6-4 6-3Dubrovnik 125 · clayL0-6 2-6Dubrovnik 125 · clay
vs Bronzetti L.#135W7-5 6-1Les Sables D'Olonne 125 · hardW6-1 7-5Antalya 125 3 · clay

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1

Grass: Lazaro Garcia A. leads 1–0 · Clay: Brancaccio N. leads 1–0

Lazaro Garcia A.June 2026WimbledonGrass3-6 4-6
Brancaccio N.July 2025W75 Bucharest 1Clay6-4 7-6(6)

Evidence

Lazaro Garcia A.Brancaccio N.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–46–4

Season win rate63% (33–19)52% (27–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17431668

Grass-court ELO14931458

Serve vs returnLast 47 matches each

1st-serve points won62%58%

Return points won48%47%

Aces / match0.91.4

ClutchLast 47 matches each

Break points saved57%51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceGrass · fast

Forecast23°C · Mainly clear

Wind2 km/h

Humidity58%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Lazaro Garcia A.Brancaccio N.

1Days since last match18

1Matches · 7 days0

19Games · 7 days0

3Matches · 14 days0

52Games · 14 days0

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Nuria Brancaccio — Mallorca Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/brancaccio-vs-garcia-mallorca-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).